← HomeDale P. Deacon

Writing and talks

I make VR worlds, and I also write, speak and teach. This page collects the writing, some of which started in a notebook, and the talks I can point to.

An essay in four parts

Precipicism

We are at the threshold.

Is the end of Moore’s Law the start of stagnation, or of something faster? The central thesis of this work is that we’re at a precipice. The future could take a radical turn for the better, or worse, as a result of technological and memetic progress.

  • Hard take-off. A new computational paradigm sends the curve vertical.
  • The complex middle. Plateaus, S-curves and slow declines as the limits to growth bite.
  • Catastrophe. A brick wall: an abrupt, unforeseen drop-off.

It’s important to note that I am not a fence-sitter. I think the “hard take-off” scenario is the most likely.

Introduction · Perspective · Evidence · Conjecture. Written 2021, published August 2025.

Read Precipicism

The Precipicism diagram: an exponential curve rises from the bottom left to a circle at the centre, the present. To its right, three regions of possible futures fan out.

More writing

Notes on other people’s methods

Medium

My tutorials and essays are on Medium, including guides to VRChat worldbuilding, stencil shaders and planning a VR project. Precipicism was first published there.

@deaconline on Medium ↗ opens in a new tab

Talks and teaching

Speaking and workshop enquiries